Vila Nova vs Criciúma prediction

Vila Nova have taken 6 points from their last 5, while Criciúma have won 3 of their last 5. Vila Nova average 1.9 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, while Criciúma average 0.9 scored and 1.1 conceded away from home. When they last met, Vila Nova lost 0-2 against Criciúma. Our model expects Vila Nova to score about 1.3 and Criciúma about 0.8. Criciúma should avoid losing by two goals or more.