Watford vs Middlesbrough prediction

Watford have lost 3 of their last 5, while Middlesbrough are unbeaten in their last 5. Watford average 1.1 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Middlesbrough average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. When they last met, Watford lost 1-5 against Middlesbrough. Our model expects Watford to score about 1.2 and Middlesbrough about 1.8. Middlesbrough should at least avoid defeat.