Alianza FC vs Águila prediction

Alianza FC have lost 3 of their last 5, while Águila are unbeaten in their last 5. Alianza FC average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Águila average 1.1 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home. In their last 5 meetings Alianza FC won 1, drew 1 and lost 3 to Águila, with 2.8 goals a game. Our model expects Alianza FC to score about 1.4 and Águila about 1.3. Águila should find the net, with about 1.3 goals expected from them.