Ceará vs América Mineiro prediction

Ceará have lost 3 of their last 5, while América Mineiro have won 3 of their last 5. Ceará average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while América Mineiro average 0.7 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. When they last met, Ceará drew 1-1 against América Mineiro. Our model expects Ceará to score about 1.3 and América Mineiro about 0.9. Ceará should find the net, with about 1.3 goals expected from them.