Derry City vs Waterford prediction

Derry City have won 3 of their last 5, while Waterford have won 4 of their last 5. Derry City average 1.7 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Waterford average 1.5 scored and 2.1 conceded away from home. In their last 5 meetings Derry City won 2, drew 2 and lost 1 to Waterford, with 4.6 goals a game. Our model expects Derry City to score about 1.7 and Waterford about 1.4. Waterford should avoid losing by two goals or more.