Estrela vs Benfica prediction

Estrela have not won in their last 5, while Benfica are unbeaten in their last 5. Estrela average 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Benfica average 2.1 scored and 1.0 conceded away from home. When they last met, Estrela lost 0-4 against Benfica. Our model expects Estrela to score about 1.1 and Benfica about 2.3. We expect only around 3.3 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.