Vitória Guimarães vs Porto prediction

Vitória Guimarães have taken 5 points from their last 5, while Porto have won 3 of their last 5. Vitória Guimarães average 1.6 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, while Porto average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded away from home. When they last met, Vitória Guimarães lost 0-1 against Porto. Our model expects Vitória Guimarães to score about 1.1 and Porto about 1.2. Vitória Guimarães should avoid losing by two goals or more.