Hearts vs Falkirk prediction

Hearts have lost 3 of their last 5, while Falkirk have won 4 of their last 5. Hearts average 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded at home, while Falkirk average 1.2 scored and 1.1 conceded away from home. In their last 4 meetings Hearts won 2, drew 1 and lost 1 to Falkirk, with 2.3 goals a game. Our model expects Hearts to score about 1.7 and Falkirk about 1.2. Falkirk should avoid losing by two goals or more.