Instituto (Córdoba) vs Newell's Old Boys prediction

Instituto (Córdoba) are unbeaten in their last 5, while Newell's Old Boys have taken 6 points from their last 5. Instituto (Córdoba) average 1.5 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Newell's Old Boys average 0.8 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. When they last met, Instituto (Córdoba) drew 1-1 against Newell's Old Boys. Our model expects Instituto (Córdoba) to score about 1.4 and Newell's Old Boys about 0.8. Newell's Old Boys should avoid losing by two goals or more.