Jagiellonia Białystok vs GKS Katowice prediction

Jagiellonia Białystok have won 3 of their last 5, while GKS Katowice have won 3 of their last 5. Jagiellonia Białystok average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while GKS Katowice average 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Jagiellonia Białystok won 1, drew 1 and lost 0 to GKS Katowice, with 3.5 goals a game. Our model expects Jagiellonia Białystok to score about 1.6 and GKS Katowice about 1.4. We expect only around 3.0 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.