Leones Negros vs Durango prediction

Leones Negros have won 3 of their last 5, while Durango have won 3 of their last 5. Leones Negros average 1.9 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Durango average 0.6 scored and 0.8 conceded away from home. When they last met, Leones Negros won 2-1 against Durango. Our model expects Leones Negros to score about 1.6 and Durango about 1.3. We expect only around 2.9 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.