Marquense vs Comunicaciones prediction

Marquense have taken 5 points from their last 5, while Comunicaciones have lost 3 of their last 5. Marquense average 1.2 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Comunicaciones average 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Marquense won 2, drew 0 and lost 1 to Comunicaciones, with 2.0 goals a game. Our model expects Marquense to score about 1.4 and Comunicaciones about 1.0. Marquense should be hard to beat here.