OFI vs Atromitos prediction

OFI have lost 3 of their last 5, while Atromitos have lost 3 of their last 5. OFI average 1.7 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Atromitos average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings OFI won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Atromitos, with 3.5 goals a game. Our model expects OFI to score about 1.7 and Atromitos about 1.1. Atromitos should avoid losing by two goals or more.