Platense vs Génesis PN prediction

Platense have lost 4 of their last 5, while Génesis PN have not won in their last 5. Platense average 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Génesis PN average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Platense won 0, drew 1 and lost 2 to Génesis PN, with 2.7 goals a game. Our model expects Platense to score about 1.5 and Génesis PN about 1.5. We expect only around 3.0 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.