Sporting de Gijón vs Real Valladolid prediction

Sporting de Gijón have won 4 of their last 5, while Real Valladolid have won 3 of their last 5. Sporting de Gijón average 1.7 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Real Valladolid average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Sporting de Gijón won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to Real Valladolid, with 5.0 goals a game. Our model expects Sporting de Gijón to score about 1.7 and Real Valladolid about 1.3. We expect only around 3.0 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.