Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction

Sturm Graz have taken 8 points from their last 5, while Red Bull Salzburg have won 3 of their last 5. Sturm Graz average 1.8 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Red Bull Salzburg average 2.0 scored and 0.9 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Sturm Graz won 0, drew 2 and lost 1 to Red Bull Salzburg, with 2.3 goals a game. Our model expects Sturm Graz to score about 1.4 and Red Bull Salzburg about 1.4. Sturm Graz should avoid losing by two goals or more.