Northern Ireland vs Portugal prediction

Northern Ireland have lost 3 of their last 5, while Portugal have won 4 of their last 5. Northern Ireland average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Portugal average 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. Our model expects Northern Ireland to score about 1.5 and Portugal about 1.2. Portugal should at least avoid defeat.