Derby County vs Wrexham prediction

Derby County have lost 3 of their last 5, while Wrexham have taken 8 points from their last 5. Derby County average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Wrexham average 1.1 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. When they last met, Derby County lost 1-2 against Wrexham. Our model expects Derby County to score about 1.4 and Wrexham about 1.2. Wrexham should at least avoid defeat.