TPS vs Jaro prediction

TPS have not won in their last 5, while Jaro have not won in their last 5. TPS average 1.4 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Jaro average 0.6 scored and 2.3 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings TPS won 1, drew 1 and lost 0 to Jaro, with 4.5 goals a game. Our model expects TPS to score about 1.6 and Jaro about 0.8. We expect only around 2.4 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.