Fluminense vs Palmeiras prediction

Fluminense have lost 3 of their last 5, while Palmeiras have won 3 of their last 5. Fluminense average 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, while Palmeiras average 1.7 scored and 0.9 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Fluminense won 1, drew 1 and lost 1 to Palmeiras, with 2.7 goals a game. Our model expects Fluminense to score about 1.3 and Palmeiras about 1.1. Palmeiras should at least avoid defeat.