Bohemians vs Waterford prediction

Bohemians have won 3 of their last 5, while Waterford have taken 8 points from their last 5. Bohemians average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Waterford average 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded away from home. In their last 4 meetings Bohemians won 1, drew 1 and lost 2 to Waterford, with 2.3 goals a game. Our model expects Bohemians to score about 1.7 and Waterford about 1.4. We expect only around 3.0 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.