Drogheda United vs Derry City prediction

Drogheda United have lost 3 of their last 5, while Derry City are unbeaten in their last 5. Drogheda United average 1.3 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Derry City average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. In their last 4 meetings Drogheda United won 1, drew 2 and lost 1 to Derry City, with 2.3 goals a game. Our model expects Drogheda United to score about 1.4 and Derry City about 1.5. We expect only around 2.8 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.