HJK vs Gnistan prediction

HJK are unbeaten in their last 5, while Gnistan have taken 6 points from their last 5. HJK average 2.0 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Gnistan average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. In their last 5 meetings HJK won 1, drew 2 and lost 2 to Gnistan, with 3.8 goals a game. Our model expects HJK to score about 1.8 and Gnistan about 1.2. We expect around 3.0 goals in total, so goals look likely.