Lahti vs TPS prediction

Lahti have taken 7 points from their last 5, while TPS have not won in their last 5. Lahti average 1.5 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while TPS average 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Lahti won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to TPS, with 1.5 goals a game. Our model expects Lahti to score about 1.2 and TPS about 0.8. We expect only around 2.0 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.