Macarthur vs Perth Glory prediction

Macarthur have lost 3 of their last 5, while Perth Glory are unbeaten in their last 5. Macarthur average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded at home, while Perth Glory average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Macarthur won 0, drew 1 and lost 2 to Perth Glory, with 3.3 goals a game. Our model expects Macarthur to score about 1.5 and Perth Glory about 1.3. Perth Glory should avoid losing by two goals or more.