Udinese vs Lecce prediction

Udinese have lost 4 of their last 5, while Lecce have lost 4 of their last 5. Udinese average 1.0 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Lecce average 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Udinese won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Lecce, with 4.0 goals a game. Our model expects Udinese to score about 1.6 and Lecce about 1.2. Udinese should find the net, with about 1.6 goals expected from them.