Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory prediction

Wellington Phoenix have won 3 of their last 5, while Melbourne Victory have taken 5 points from their last 5. Wellington Phoenix average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded at home, while Melbourne Victory average 1.4 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Wellington Phoenix won 1, drew 0 and lost 2 to Melbourne Victory, with 4.0 goals a game. Our model expects Wellington Phoenix to score about 1.4 and Melbourne Victory about 1.3. Melbourne Victory should avoid losing by two goals or more.