Cagliari vs Bologna prediction

Cagliari have won 3 of their last 5, while Bologna have taken 5 points from their last 5. Cagliari average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded at home, while Bologna average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Cagliari won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to Bologna, with 1.0 goals a game. Our model expects Cagliari to score about 1.2 and Bologna about 1.0. Cagliari should find the net, with about 1.2 goals expected from them.