Como vs Sassuolo prediction

Como have taken 7 points from their last 5, while Sassuolo have taken 5 points from their last 5. Como average 1.9 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, while Sassuolo average 1.3 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Como won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Sassuolo, with 2.5 goals a game. Our model expects Como to score about 2.0 and Sassuolo about 1.2. We expect only around 3.2 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.