Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City prediction

Melbourne Victory have taken 5 points from their last 5, while Melbourne City have lost 3 of their last 5. Melbourne Victory average 2.0 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Melbourne City average 1.1 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Melbourne Victory won 2, drew 0 and lost 1 to Melbourne City, with 2.3 goals a game. Our model expects Melbourne Victory to score about 1.7 and Melbourne City about 1.2. Melbourne Victory should be hard to beat here.