Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur prediction

Newcastle Jets are unbeaten in their last 5, while Macarthur have lost 3 of their last 5. Newcastle Jets average 2.2 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, while Macarthur average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Newcastle Jets won 1, drew 0 and lost 2 to Macarthur, with 5.0 goals a game. Our model expects Newcastle Jets to score about 1.8 and Macarthur about 1.3. Macarthur should avoid losing by two goals or more.