Motherwell vs Hearts prediction

Motherwell have not won in their last 5, while Hearts have taken 5 points from their last 5. Motherwell average 1.6 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Hearts average 1.5 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Motherwell won 0, drew 2 and lost 1 to Hearts, with 2.0 goals a game. Our model expects Motherwell to score about 1.6 and Hearts about 1.5. Motherwell should avoid losing by two goals or more.