OFI vs PAOK prediction

OFI have lost 3 of their last 5, while PAOK have won 3 of their last 5. OFI average 1.7 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while PAOK average 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings OFI won 0, drew 0 and lost 2 to PAOK, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects OFI to score about 1.7 and PAOK about 1.4. We expect only around 3.1 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.