Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City prediction

Real Salt Lake have taken 7 points from their last 5, while St. Louis City have won 3 of their last 5. Real Salt Lake average 2.0 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while St. Louis City average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Real Salt Lake won 0, drew 2 and lost 0 to St. Louis City, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Real Salt Lake to score about 1.4 and St. Louis City about 1.7. We expect only around 3.2 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.