Sporting KC vs Austin prediction

Sporting KC have lost 3 of their last 5, while Austin have not won in their last 5. Sporting KC average 1.5 scored and 2.1 conceded at home, while Austin average 1.1 scored and 2.3 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Sporting KC won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Austin, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Sporting KC to score about 1.7 and Austin about 1.6. Sporting KC should avoid losing by two goals or more.