Santos vs Bahia prediction

Santos have won 3 of their last 5, while Bahia have lost 3 of their last 5. Santos average 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Bahia average 1.1 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. When they last met, Santos drew 2-2 against Bahia. Our model expects Santos to score about 1.6 and Bahia about 1.3. Bahia should find the net, with about 1.3 goals expected from them.