Club América vs Pachuca prediction

Club América are unbeaten in their last 5, while Pachuca have not won in their last 5. Club América average 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Pachuca average 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Club América won 1, drew 1 and lost 0 to Pachuca, with 1.0 goals a game. Our model expects Club América to score about 2.0 and Pachuca about 1.4. Club América should avoid losing by two goals or more.