Querétaro vs Cruz Azul prediction

Querétaro have taken 7 points from their last 5, while Cruz Azul have taken 8 points from their last 5. Querétaro average 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Cruz Azul average 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Querétaro won 0, drew 2 and lost 0 to Cruz Azul, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Querétaro to score about 1.6 and Cruz Azul about 1.4. Querétaro should avoid losing by two goals or more.