AC Milan vs Bologna prediction

AC Milan have won 3 of their last 5, while Bologna have taken 7 points from their last 5. AC Milan average 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Bologna average 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. When they last met, AC Milan won 3-0 against Bologna. Our model expects AC Milan to score about 1.6 and Bologna about 1.1. AC Milan should avoid losing by two goals or more.