Genoa vs Juventus prediction

Genoa have taken 7 points from their last 5, while Juventus have taken 8 points from their last 5. Genoa average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, while Juventus average 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded away from home. When they last met, Genoa lost 0-2 against Juventus. Our model expects Genoa to score about 1.1 and Juventus about 1.3. We expect around 2.4 goals in total, so goals look likely.