Monza vs Napoli prediction

Monza have lost 3 of their last 5, while Napoli have taken 7 points from their last 5. Monza average 2.9 scored and 1.9 conceded at home, while Napoli average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home. Our model expects Monza to score about 1.9 and Napoli about 1.5. Napoli should find the net, with about 1.5 goals expected from them.