Oulu vs VPS prediction

Oulu have won 3 of their last 5, while VPS have lost 4 of their last 5. Oulu average 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while VPS average 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. In their last 4 meetings Oulu won 2, drew 0 and lost 2 to VPS, with 2.5 goals a game. Our model expects Oulu to score about 1.5 and VPS about 1.0. Oulu should avoid losing by two goals or more.