Santos vs Palmeiras prediction

Santos have taken 8 points from their last 5, while Palmeiras have won 4 of their last 5. Santos average 1.5 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Palmeiras average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Santos won 1, drew 1 and lost 1 to Palmeiras, with 1.7 goals a game. Our model expects Santos to score about 1.1 and Palmeiras about 1.4. Palmeiras should find the net, with about 1.4 goals expected from them.