Al Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah prediction

Al Riyadh have taken 8 points from their last 5, while Al Qadsiah have won 3 of their last 5. Al Riyadh average 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Al Qadsiah average 2.4 scored and 1.0 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Al Riyadh won 0, drew 0 and lost 2 to Al Qadsiah, with 4.0 goals a game. Our model expects Al Riyadh to score about 1.1 and Al Qadsiah about 2.0. We expect only around 3.1 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.