Bahia vs São Paulo prediction

Bahia have lost 3 of their last 5, while São Paulo have taken 7 points from their last 5. Bahia average 1.6 scored and 1.0 conceded at home, while São Paulo average 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Bahia won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to São Paulo, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Bahia to score about 1.4 and São Paulo about 1.0. We expect around 2.3 goals in total, so goals look likely.