Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo prediction

Vasco da Gama have won 3 of their last 5, while Flamengo are unbeaten in their last 5. Vasco da Gama average 1.5 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Flamengo average 1.9 scored and 0.7 conceded away from home. When they last met, Vasco da Gama drew 2-2 against Flamengo. Our model expects Vasco da Gama to score about 1.0 and Flamengo about 1.5. Flamengo should at least avoid defeat.