Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction

Fiorentina have lost 3 of their last 5, while Atalanta have taken 7 points from their last 5. Fiorentina average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Atalanta average 1.3 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. When they last met, Fiorentina drew 1-1 against Atalanta. Our model expects Fiorentina to score about 1.6 and Atalanta about 1.4. We expect only around 3.0 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.