Al Shabab vs Al Ahli prediction

Al Shabab have taken 8 points from their last 5, while Al Ahli have won 4 of their last 5. Al Shabab average 1.8 scored and 1.9 conceded at home, while Al Ahli average 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Al Shabab won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to Al Ahli, with 4.5 goals a game. Our model expects Al Shabab to score about 1.5 and Al Ahli about 1.7. We expect only around 3.2 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.