Grêmio vs Athletico Paranaense prediction

Grêmio have taken 6 points from their last 5, while Athletico Paranaense have taken 8 points from their last 5. Grêmio average 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Athletico Paranaense average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. When they last met, Grêmio drew 0-0 against Athletico Paranaense. Our model expects Grêmio to score about 1.3 and Athletico Paranaense about 1.5. Grêmio should avoid losing by two goals or more.