Cracovia vs Motor Lublin prediction

Cracovia have lost 3 of their last 5, while Motor Lublin have taken 8 points from their last 5. Cracovia average 1.2 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Motor Lublin average 1.5 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Cracovia won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to Motor Lublin, with 4.5 goals a game. Our model expects Cracovia to score about 1.7 and Motor Lublin about 1.4. Cracovia should avoid losing by two goals or more.